A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like “in Minecraft”) and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of protestors in Nigeria in 2024.


As I’m sure everybody is aware by now, Trump’s accusation that Nigerian armed groups are unfairly persecuting Christians in the country is a rather bizarre lie, seeking a justification to go in, to quote Trump, “guns-a-blazing”. Whether this is likely to actually occur or is merely a threat, who can really say nowadays? But Boko Haram and Islamic State West Africa Province are targeting people in Nigeria fairly indiscriminately; insomuch that there is a target, it is farmers whose land is being raided and taken in resource conflicts, and their religious affiliation is not usually questioned by those groups before they are pillaged and/or murdered from what I can tell.

The President of Nigeria, Tinubu, has no small responsibility for this state of affairs - enacting IMF “reforms” which have exacerbated hunger, poverty, and unemployment in the service of Western financial institutions. Those who have protested against this state of affairs have faced repression by state security forces. Meanwhile, Tinubu allegedly has strong connections to the DEA, paying large amounts of money to avoid a trial for his actions; the DEA released this statement: “We oppose the full… release of the DEA’s Bola Tinubu heroin trafficking investigation records,” which is certainly not concerning at all - followed by “While Nigerians have a right to be informed about what their government is up to, they do not have a right to know what their president is up to.”

It must be a shame for him that such a loyal subject of empire is facing such scrutiny, and it likely has everything to do with Nigeria’s inexorably growing connections to China (just like pretty much every country on the planet), especially in relation to Nigeria’s massive mineral deposits. It could also perhaps be retribution for Nigeria’s failure to adequately oppose the growing independence of the Sahel.


Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • carpoftruth [any, any]@hexbear.net
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    An NYC councilwoman is inviting Satanyahu to visit NYC on the same day as Mamdani’s inauguration.

    Please Zohran, if you actually do it I’ll never doubt you again.

    • Awoo [she/her]@hexbear.net
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      Netanyahu won’t touch a single street of NYC if he does go, he will have to be helicoptered from roof to roof. Touching a New York street would be the biggest window of opportunity for him to be shot by someone since the beginning of the war.

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      Hoping so too, but is there a law that says he can do it? Not that it will come into play, but are there cops who would carry out that order if given? Unfortunately by saying he would arrest Netanyahu, he’s opened himself up to this exact calling of his bluff. Here’s the context where he said he would follow the law and not arrest Netanyahu if it was not legal.

      https://youtu.be/uK3LJ67utG4

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          I am sure its one more compromise until we tots are doing people’s republic of new york, this is like totally the biggest leftist victory since 1945 guys!!

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        Yeah it’s not happening, the mayor of New York can’t just order someone’s arrest on an international warrant issued by an authority the US doesn’t recognize, or order anybody’s arrest period. Mamdani can’t enter into obligations on behalf of the US. If he could that would mean giving a mayor the power to represent the country in foreign affairs, or to put it another way, handing over national sovereignty to NYC. Obviously, there is no legal framework for this. The only even remotely plausible path is for the NYC DA (who is not Mamdani) to indict Satanyahu for crimes that occurred within the jurisdiction of NYC, and have a NYC judge issue a warrant, two things that are not going to happen, because of the elephant in the room: diplomatic immunity. If Mamdani ordered Satanyahu’s arrest he would essentially be leading NYC as a rogue city attempting to exercise the powers of a state - legally speaking, rebelling against the authority of the federal government. He would be serving his head to Trump on a golden platter, with the latter’s DOJ indicting him on multiple capital offenses.

        If he touches Satanyahu he will be at the very least spending the rest of his life in federal prison, if he doesn’t just get JFK’d (legally! after being sentenced to death)

        TLDR: Attempting to arrest Satanyahu could end up with Mamdani being executed by firing squad

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            Unfortunately that would require the conservatives to be right and for him to be the second coming of Mao

            serious response

            He would have to get the DA to charge Netanyahu for a crime that occurred in the jurisdiction of NYC, convince a judge to issue a warrant, and ignore diplomatic immunity to have a municipal PD usurp the authority of the national government to arrest a foreign head of state. Most likely would not end well for him, unless NYC has secret nukes, in which case, glory to the People’s Republic of New York

        • Speaker [e/em/eir]@hexbear.net
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          NYPD has officers in the entity and various other imperial footholds (International Liaison Program), so evidently they can enter into obligations on behalf of the US and represent the US in foreign affairs.

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            The NYPD International Liason Program enters into obligations on behalf of the NYPD and represents the NYPD in foreign affairs. That’s not even remotely the same thing as entering into international treaties on behalf of the US. Sure, it’s US influence, but that’s influence that’s sanctioned by the feds, or else it wouldn’t be happening. NYPD pigs aren’t diplomats, the ILP is an international influence/intelligence op not a consular program. Officially the imperial footholds are cutting deals with the NYPD. It doesn’t give the NYPD the power to adopt the Rome statute on behalf of the federal government. If your boss sends you on a business trip to represent your department you don’t become the CEO of the company.

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        The problem here is we are thinking of The Crime but sure this man has been involved in numerous other crimes. Or at least, some sort of of probable cause could be found. You don’t need to prove anything to arrest someone, just have a little bit.

        Even arresting him for j walking or loitering or a case of mistaken identity because he fit a description for another person would make mamdani a hero around the world.

        The next important question becomes: who is the deputy mayor?

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              A head of state is considered a diplomatic official, as well as everyone he’s with, unless they are not government officials. If the mayor of a city could have a foreign head of state arrested on an official visit, then the entire diplomatic system would break down.

              2 FAM 232.5(a)

              Foreign heads of state, heads of government, and foreign ministers enjoy immunity from criminal and civil jurisdiction during their terms of office[1].

              Also:

              Sitting heads of state, heads of government, and foreign ministers are absolutely immune from suit during their terms of office. Head-of-state immunity is a status-based immunity (immunity ratione personae) that attaches to these officials while they occupy these positions “to ensure the effective performance of their functions on behalf of their respective States.”[2]

              What this means is that no arrest warrant would be enforceable, including the ICC warrant because the US is not a party to the Rome statute, and you can write as many jaywalking tickets to Satanyahu as you wish but he has no obligation to ever show up to court.

              At most, the government can expel him from the country. The federal government, not NYC. If Mamdani took any independent action he would be committing multiple capital offenses relating to defying the authority of the federal government. I mean, he probably wouldn’t actually be sentenced to death, but I don’t think he’s going to choose life in federal prison in exchange for what would at most amount to a stunt.

              TLDR: it would be even more illegal for Mamdani to have Satanyahu arrested than for any random person on the street to try.


              1. Foreign Affairs Manual Chapter 2 §230, Immunities of Foreign Representatives and Officials of International Organizations in the United States ↩︎

              2. Concerning the Arrest Warrant of 11 Apr. 2000 (Dem. Rep. Congo v. Belg.), 2002 I.C.J. 3, ¶ 53 ↩︎

            • oscardejarjayes [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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              If you click the link above the table, heads of state and government get the same visa as a diplomatic agent would. Since head of state isn’t specifically mentioned on the table, maybe he could be detained, but I don’t think you could arrest or charge him with anything. He can be issued a traffic ticket though! (that he won’t have to pay). He might have arrestable servants.

              But really, I don’t think his security is going to just let him get arrested and tried. I’m just imagining some wild Mossad operation to break him out of Rikers, while framing Luigi for assassinating Zohran.

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        I don’t think it makes any difference whether mamdani arrests him immediatly on day 1 or on day 500, the consequences and costs are going to be exactly the same so he might as well do it as soon as possible

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    Brussel, Belgium.

    An arab-descent woman arrived at the hospital bleeding. She was having a miscarriage. The racist staff refused to take her seriously, sent her back home, then when she refused to leave, called the cops. She was in a cell for a few hours. She was ordered by the cops to clean her own blood. Then a slightly-less-dumb police women ended up identifying what was happening to her and send her to the hospital.

    https://stuut.info/Racisme-Une-femme-enceinte-belgo-marocaine-abandonnee-a-l-hopital-et-arretee-en-8760

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    South Africa very narrowly avoided becoming an international pariah yet again and forsaking any goodwill the non-Western world (especially Palestinians) built over the last 32 years since the end of Apartheid, especially with the Cuban Ambassador present in Johannesburg as Africa’s most important city was experiencing a humanitarian crisis in the middle of it’s airport.

    Border security was prepared to force the plane with the 160 Palestinian refugees to leave because the Nazi entity had intentionally not stamped the passports and falsely claimed they are not allowed to request asylum. Pastor Nigel Branken was onboard the flight and during an interview given to Salaamedia at the airport even called the border patrol as counter-revolutionaries. He even stated that the flight was only halted because an ambulance was responding to medical emergencies onboard the plane and had strategically parked in the path of the aircraft, preventing it from taxiing and sending the refugees “into the ovens”. This “delay” also gave time for other South African heads of state to intervene.

    Had the flight taken off, it would have caused a permanent black stain on the post-Apartheid South Africa’s reputation that will never wash off in the eyes of the world. There may even be mass civil unrest in South Africa against the government’s lack of timely action resulting in turning away Palestinians who were hopeful to finally live in guaranteed safety and normality once they saw the iridescent South African flags and the cityscape of Johannesburg and Pretoria out of the plane windows. And we would have yet one more burning flag emoji to add to our collection.

    G20 was also present in Johannesburg, but… PIGPOOPBALLS

    Death to piSSrael, unlimited Iranian hypersonic missiles on the Nazi entity. If Tel Aviv wants to cosplay as the Third Reich, Tehran should play along as the Soviet Union and bring down Stalin’s Hammer on that wee Nazi shite

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    https://www.france24.com/en/video/20251110-paris-court-decides-to-release-nicolas-sarkozy-early-from-prison

    What a surprise, nobody could have predicted it but Sarkozy (ex French president) is already out of prison after only 20days (out of 5years) while waiting on his appeal.

    The French right and media class became prison abolitionists over night on this case. Given as far as saying on TV that prison was not for people like them.

    The justice minister even went to meet him in prison to show support and days before having to go to prison Sarkozy was received in the Elysée by Macron

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    People (Ian Ellis) that are much better at making graphics than me have made an illustration the US military buildup in the Carribean against Venezuela, using the same primary sources of plane nerds and internet sleuths. There’s a lot of hardware involved.

    Source link, with primary sources listed

    If anyone’s wondering why the deployment to El Salvador is listed as “special”, the P-8A Poseidon aircraft deployed there is from a secretive reconnaissance squadron Special Projects Patrol Squadron (VPU) 2 “Wizards”, and is fitted with a bunch of unique sensors. The C-40 deployed to El Salvador is also not your regular C-40 (militarised Boeing 737-700) it’s again a secretive specialised variant, using larger fuel tanks, owned by a shell company, and equipped with unique/specialised sensors, and is known to communicate with P-8As directly and collaborate with them. The AC-130J Ghostrider gunship in El Salvador is the firepower.

    Article on that

    Linked to the above, there have been more AC-130J Ghostrider gunship strikes in the Eastern Pacific.

    Video source of strikes from US Secretary of Defence/War Pete Hegseth

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      This is very worrying, not just for Venezuela but for everyone else. The technology gap between the US and the rest of the world, barring countries like Russia and China, is too big and even if the US is in full economic, social and political meltdown, they can still mobilize enough high-tech systems to blow your country to bits if desired and there is nothing you can do about it. Iran serves as the example, all those years preparing for the US strike and when it came, they could do nothing about it. The fact that both the US and “israel” suffered a grand total of zero air losses in the campaign tells you something.

      Venezuela has the best or the second best Armed Forces in the entire continent. Maybe there is a discussion between them and Brasil. But regardless of this, as it stands right now, they have little to no chance to stave off a US military assault, even less when the US plays with their strongest cards available – sheer maritime and air power.

      I get that a lot of people are referencing Vietnam and such, even Maduro said so. But back in Vietnam the technology gap was big but it could be closed, after all, the MiG-19s and MiG-21s weren’t all that inferior to the Phantoms. The vietnamese AD systems were very good and claimed a lot of kills. In the ground the equipment was comparable. Despite a US advantage on firepower and technology, the vietnamese could close the gap with their own high tech systems (althrough available in limited numbes), sheer resilience and appropiate doctrines. Today I think the technology gap gives one side a tremendous firepower advantage over the other, so much so that “normal countries” have no way of closing it right now.

      Take the 1982 South Atlantic War for example. Argentina ran a bunch of older-ish tech against the British yet a number of ships were hit and sunk. Today such feat will not be possible I think. We’re talking about planes that cannot be detected on the radar which can destroy your own radars and fire beyond visual range… that wasn’t a thing in the 70s and 80s…

      Well, I guess Venezuela should have bought ballistic missiles… I think it’s very heroic to “mobilize the militias” and give peasants some old AKs, but you can’t fire at incoming Tomahawks with militiamen…

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        they can still mobilize enough high-tech systems to blow your country to bits if desired and there is nothing you can do about it. Iran serves as the example, all those years preparing for the US strike and when it came, they could do nothing about it.

        While I understand what you’re saying generally, Iran is not exactly “blown to bits”, is it? We have yet to see the US successfully carry out the doctrine you’re talking about. So let’s not give them too much credit until they actually demonstrate they can do it.

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        This is precisely why some got nukes. This is a country that hasn’t had a year of peace for a reason. Their pockets are deeper than the crevice where their souls are supposed to be

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        The tech gap is very concerning. When Venezuela purchased the Su-30s in 2006, and the S-300VM/SA-23 a few years later, it was enough to deter the US in effect, to make it not worth the effort with the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan ongoing. But it’s now almost 20 years since the first Su-30 purchase, and the USA has advanced in military technology significantly, and Venezuela hasn’t, Russia can’t really give them anything significantly better either. Su-30 vs Su-35, S-300V vs S-400, it doesn’t close the technology gap significantly. China has supplied a couple of search radars, but that’s it, they don’t export their high tech stuff like J-20s or the latest HQ-9C air defence. Pakistan has the most advanced Chinese exports currently. If there’s no one on the international stage that has the capability or willingness to arm it’s allies with the latest and greatest, we end up in this situation.

      • darkcalling [comrade/them, she/her]@hexbear.net
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        I get that a lot of people are referencing Vietnam and such, even Maduro said so. But back in Vietnam the technology gap was big but it could be closed, after all, the MiG-19s and MiG-21s weren’t all that inferior to the Phantoms. The vietnamese AD systems were very good and claimed a lot of kills. In the ground the equipment was comparable. Despite a US advantage on firepower and technology, the vietnamese could close the gap with their own high tech systems (althrough available in limited numbes), sheer resilience and appropiate doctrines. Today I think the technology gap gives one side a tremendous firepower advantage over the other, so much so that “normal countries” have no way of closing it right now.

        Not just that. Sadly the surveillance capabilities have absolutely advanced in leaps and bounds.

        Back in Vietnam the resistance could dig tunnels in the jungle and at night the US generally couldn’t have anything approaching total visibility. These days with modern satellites, high altitude and low altitude surveillance via drones and manned planes they US can have just incredible visibility of movements even in jungle using things like IR sensors and motion detection. So if they say plan to fight a protracted battle against a direct US invasion it’s going to be hard if they haven’t extensively prepared before now because the US is going to spot and know where any new major construction on bunkers, underground tunnels, facilities, etc are and can see assaults heading towards cities ahead of time with way more warning than in Vietnam. Frankly there is huge gulf in US capabilities then and now and the relative levels of support the two countries could expect. Vietnam was getting direct military aid from the USSR and China who was just over the border, Venezuela has no nearby superpowers that aren’t across an ocean or two to supply them and Russia is currently quite occupied dedicating its production capacity to Ukraine while China is unlikely to want to get involved and certainly won’t be likely to go into smuggling or blockade running over a wide ocean to do so.

        Frankly I do think the US could succeed in seizing the capital city, turning it into a green-zone and pacifying the area around it long enough to set up a comprador government that’s recognized internationally and arming and training the local reactionaries. They’d face years of insurgency obviously but with US air cover they could perhaps manage to seize the oil producing regions or at least deny their ability to export (perhaps through US led interdiction, declaring all the oil belongs to the US set up comprador regime and leading to the US blockading and stealing anything sent out at sea).

        But as I think about this I think it’s about many things and given how many are very important it doesn’t look good:

        • Oil control (and the economic power that comes with it considering all the gulf states are US vassals when push comes to shove)
        • locking down control of South America in the cold war with China in terms of raw resources but also in terms of being able to lock China out of markets there
        • Reasserting themselves in the face of an inevitable Ukraine loss to intimidate their enemies and show they still got it and can and will still fuck you up if you don’t obey them
        • Direct testing of weapons systems refined and suggested by the Ukraine conflict to prepare for and further refine them for a conflict with China in the future

        Best hope for Venezuela is that they try to decapitate and kill Maduro and those closest to him (preferable obviously for us that they don’t totally succeed), take out some of their military but then quickly get bored, declare mission accomplished and leave and either a still living Maduro or whoever succeeds him and declare they’ve dealt with the “drug trafficking”. They may yet still think they can just use special forces to achieve a coup and comprador government being put in place after decapitation of the civil government and military as well as degrading of most military capabilities and not want to commit to boots on the ground. As long as local reactionaries can be foiled, prevented from receiving weapons and acting the US can be frustrated into giving up. Though the US will likely turn to economic weapons to try and turn up the heat on Venezuela and get the people angry and amenable to regime change or at least apathetic to the US forcing it.

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          Caracas is very defensible if enough forces are mobilized. You’d probably have to assemble an infantry force of over 100,000 just to occupy it after you use whatever airpower to assault the city and wear down the defenses. I think it would require too many boots on the ground to supply them all by air, so you’re going to have to secure one of a few roads through forested mountain passes up from the coast, and those come in across town from many of the most important places you’d want to focus your occupation forces. If the Venezuelans have even a little backbone it’s a very difficult job even with overwhelming technological superiority and air dominance. Maracaibo and the oil fields would be a doable target, but actually I don’t think occupying Caracas is possible without mobilizing a much larger force. Honestly it might be straight up impossible for the US military to do in it’s current state.

          Now some kind of decapitation strike followed by an attempt to install a puppet with limited special operations forces and air strikes might be something that feels a bit more feasible for the US military to attempt, but I kind of doubt they’ll be able to pull off the second part. Venezuelans aren’t necessarily happy with their current situation, but they’re definitely not going to be happy with the US murdering a bunch of people and bombing their country. There are also deep class and racial divides in the country that underlie its politics and uphold Chavismo’s grip on the country. If you fracture the country on those lines, the more white comprador sections of the country will probably just lose. If the US were smart they’d find some Afro-Venezuelan face for their puppet government, but then that would probably alienate their supporters too much.

          I think Rubio wants to overthrow the Venezuelan government by force, and he might be powerful enough to push through some kind of stupid decapitation operation that just devolves into a complete mess. I think there are plenty of saner heads in the Pentagon and Washington establishment that are trying to gently push back or slow-walk this confrontational policy, so it’s kind of up to Trump’s whim whether it happens or not. The fact that it hasn’t happened yet, after all of this provocation, makes me think it’s less likely that anything will happen, and some shiny new toy project for US foreign policy will come along in the mean time and we’ll forget about this like we forgot about the bajillion times Bush and Obama threatened war with North Korea.

          • darkcalling [comrade/them, she/her]@hexbear.net
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            I think Rubio wants to overthrow the Venezuelan government by force, and he might be powerful enough to push through some kind of stupid decapitation operation that just devolves into a complete mess.

            One must remember in chaos there is profit for the US. The US also plays the long game. It took them 10 years but they did succeed in getting rid of Assad and achieving their goals in Syria. Even if decapitating the government in Venezuela doesn’t lead to immediate installing of a comprador regime it opens up the field for the US to maneuver in the succession space and chaos and fear that follows and set up dominoes to orchestrate a plot 5 years later that plunges the country into a civil war and with US support leads to some sort of dictatorship. For example if they could merely kill Maduro and top people and push incompetent people, people who are liberal-roaders, who are neo-liberal economically to make bad decisions they could divorce the people from the party and movement and sap them with apathy that creates opportunity for further moves and in-roads down the line. I of course am thinking of Bolivia and what happened there.

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        Not much. Venezuela have advanced air defences, but in very limited numbers. Their most numerous air defence systems, the S-125/SA-3, are modernised cold war relics. The Venezuelan F-16s lack radar guided missiles, and the Su-30s are outclassed by F-35s. Maintenance and spare parts are an issue for both aircraft types. Anti ship capabilities are limited to shorter range missiles launched by Su-30s, or Iranian made patrol boats. Venezuela doesn’t have any ballistic missiles, also the range to hit the continental US is almost double that of Iran vs Israel, and greater than Yemen vs Israel. Some kind of air bridge from Russia or Iran for supplies is not feasible, neither state has the airlift capacity. Russian government officials were bragging about maybe sending one or two Pantsir S1/SA-22s over, and repairing existing air defences last week.

        The biggest bargaining chip Venezuela has to play are the 5000 Igla-S/SA-24 Man Portable Air Defense systems (MANPADs). That’s a big number and could complicate low altitude flights/operations by helicopters and close air support. It could also end up outside of state control in the case of a collapse of the Venezuelan government.

        What Russia could do at most is supply Venezuela with longer range anti ship missiles, a P-800 Oniks battalion with ground launchers for instance. Or the air launched version, the Kh-61. Or some ground launched Kalibr cruise missiles. But I think that’s very unlikely. It has just as much of a potential to start a conflict as it has to deter.

        • departee [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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          Some kind of air bridge from Russia or Iran for supplies is not feasible, neither state has the airlift capacity.

          How come? Doesn’t russia have enough IL-76s lying around?

          • MarmiteLover123 [comrade/them, any]@hexbear.net
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            Russia have a lot of IL-76s. But range is an issue when fully loaded, and with the war in Ukraine Russia can’t fly over Europe or the Black Sea. So the IL-76s will have to take multiple stops on their journey to Venezuela. I think the recent flight to Venezuela had a stopover in Libya, and then Mauritania, before crossing the Atlantic, and took multiple days to arrive. Russia doesn’t have the mid air refueling capacity to dedicate to non stop flights on such cumbersome routes. The IL-76 is a big aircraft (and very loud, I hear them before I see them overhead where I live), but it isn’t the biggest airlifter, if you were to compare it to US equipment it’s more similar in payload capacity to the C-141 than the C-17. This means that the biggest pieces of equipment, such as say large components of an S-300 or S-400 air defence system, need to be transported using the An-124 if being done by air. Russia has 12-13 of those.

            Resupply by air would be difficult considering that.

    • companero [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      There were those reports that “Trump was having doubts” about the effectiveness of a potential operation.

      Seems like their solution to that was to just bring in a whole extra carrier group.

      • jack [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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        There were plenty of reports before the attack on Iran about Trump reconsidering, backing out, etc. It’s put out there on purpose to muddy the waters and get people to let their guard down. Only true military deterrence will prevent an attack at this point.

        • HarryLime [any]@hexbear.net
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          Bingo- they did the same thing to the Iranians, bringing them to the negotiating table and signaled diplomacy to get them to let their guard down.

      • MarmiteLover123 [comrade/them, any]@hexbear.net
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        CNN says the doubts are about the legality of strikes on mainland Venezuela, and that the administration is seeking a new legal opinion from the Department of Justice that will make it legal. But who knows at this point. The media space is full of contradictory articles.

        What the Gerald Ford Carrier Strike Group adds is more air defence AEGIS assets, more Tomahawks, and most importantly, 60+ F/A-18E/F aircraft for various missions, bomb trucks that can provide constant close air support or an intense bombing campaign from close by. It’s on the move currently.

        • LeninWeave [none/use name, any]@hexbear.net
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          CNN says the doubts are about the legality of strikes on mainland Venezuela, and that the administration is seeking a new legal opinion from the Department of Justice that will make it legal.

          unlimited-power

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    By all accounts, the attempted coup in Mexico has failed. Protesters tried to storm the Presidential Palace and clashed with police for approximately two hours, but now the situation appears to have calmed down.

    • Telegram
  • jack [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    Excited to get in the effort post list this week, I’ve been working on this one for a while:

    Communism? Good.

    Zionism? Bad.

    Reformism? Not gonna cut it.

    Revolution? That’s the stuff!

  • SoyViking [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    ‘If I Was A Parent I Would Shake A Little’: Danish Leader Wants To Reduce Number Of Neurodivergent Children

    A declaration by Denmark’s leader, Mette Frederiksen, that she intends to “reduce the number of children and young people who get a diagnosis” for conditions like autism and ADHD has intensified concerns over human rights for neurodivergent children in the Nordic hermit kingdom.

    Frederiksen framed the rising rate of diagnoses as a direct threat to society. “If it continues like now, then it will end up becoming the norm to have some special needs. And then we cannot run a society,” she stated.

    Read more...

    Her remarks has sparked an outcry from experts and human rights advocates, who warn it could restrict access to healthcare and leave a generation of neurodivergents without support.

    Clinical psychologist Anne-Mette Lange of Aarhus University captured the resulting anxiety, stating, “If I were a parent to a child, I would shake a little.” She called the Prime Minister’s goal “based on a false premise,” arguing that diagnoses identify needs rather than create them. She is worried about the implications of having fewer diagnosed children as a goal, “If it means that we let people with ADHD and autism go without help, then that’s not a good idea,” she said.

    Experts counter that the increase in diagnoses reflects societal progress, not a crisis. Søren Dalsgaard, a professor of child psychiatry, pointed to data showing identification leads to better outcomes. He explains how neurodivergent children’s distress rises until they are diagnosed, and then it falls. “It actually helps to get a diagnosis,” he told Woman and explained how a diagnosis enables the right treatment and accomodations for he child to thrive.

    Following the backlash, Frederiksen has issued a written statement claiming that her aim was to prevent distress from developing into more severe conditions, not to cause insecurity for families.

    The controversy unfolds amid a deep crisis in Denmark’s public schools, where special education programs have vanished after years of cost-cutting and special-needs students have been moved to standard classrooms with little or no support. With services disappearing, more children are identified as needing help even as support dwindles. A recent survey found that only 23 percent of Danes believe public schools will improve over the next two decades, while over a third expect conditions to worsen.

    The regime’s anti-science stance aligns with a broader pattern of hostility toward disabled citizens. The regime recently announced plans to re-open thousands of disability benefit cases, motivated by the explicitly racist claim that “too many immigrants” were receiving benefits. Meanwhile, Matthias Tesfaye, the head of the Social Democrat-controlled Ministry of Education, recently mocked children with behavioral differences by labeling them “PDO”—a slur short for “piss-poorly raised.”

    The recent attacks on neurodivergent children follows the pattern set by Denmark’s imperial overlords in Washington DC where the American Trump regime recently launched a campagn of demoization aginst neurodivergents, spearheaded by conspiracy theorist Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

    For Danish families, the leader’s statements have introduced a new layer of fear. As experts note, a diagnosis is not a societal failure but a gateway to understanding. “Instead of trying to reduce the number of diagnoses,” argued professor Anne Thorup, “we need to figure out how to include those children who have different starting points.”

    Sources:

  • FuckyWucky [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    The soulless neoliberal ghoul who was calling for austerity as early as 2010 and wanted double digit unemployment in 2021 is likely a pedo no way.

    https://oversightdemocrats.house.gov/sites/evo-subsites/democrats-oversight.house.gov/files/evo-media-document/packet_redacted_noid.pdf

    And he is racist and misogynistic tooo? Whaat

    1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Summers_memo

    2. https://www.theguardian.com/science/2005/jan/18/educationsgendergap.genderissues

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    The Iraqi Parliamentary Elections are officially over since a few hours ago. Very civilised and calm occasion, probably the best elections since elections became a thing in Iraq after the American invasion and occupation. Clear increase in the number of voters despite Muqtada Al Sadr’s countless tantrums and subsequent boycott of the election, with his 1+ million potential loyal voters not showing up today.

    Let’s quickly talk results. Final results will be announced tomorrow at 6 PM Baghdad time, but we already have strong indications from exit polls, dumbass election officials who have leaked way too much, and initial calculations by people that I respect in the Iraqi political world. Full breakdown of the results probably coming by the end of the week but no promises. If the names and numbers are confusing, please click on my profile and check my earlier breakdown of the elections.

    Biggest winners:

    1. PM Mohammed Al Sudani and his coalition. Sudani’s gang have by all indications achieved a historical performance in this election. They seem to have a very strong performance in Baghdad, Basra and surprisingly Nineveh as well. They are set to have 50+ seats at the moment and Sudani looks to be the guy that will be tasked to form the new government. More on this point after the official results, but Sudani’s victory comes as a result of a Sunni-Shia middle-class coalition of people that we as Internet freaks would refer to as “I just wanna grill” people. The rise of the griller is a new phenomenon in Iraq, it will be very interesting to talk more about this soon.

    2. Kurdistani Democratic Party. All that talk about Kurds finally getting tired of the Barzani eternal oligarchy was just talk. The KDP has burst through the 1 million votes barrier and will position themselves as the primary senior partner in Sudani’s upcoming ruling coalitions, alongside Halbusi’s Sunni-led Taqaddum

    3. Nouri Al Maliki’s State of the Law. The shit that just won’t flush. He is the living proof of “time heals everything”. Most Iraqis wanted him hung in Tahrir Square after the ISIS disaster, but somehow people forget and he seems to have secured more seats than last time, enough to make him a pain in the ass when it’s time to form a government.

    Biggest losers:

    1. PMU-aligned parties except Sadiqoun. Horrible performance by both Kataeb Hezbollah’s Huquq, and Badr, two of the three big PMU-related parties. Anti-resistance propaganda by American-backed media has definitely left an effect in people’s mind which directly affects their vote and leads to the creation of something like the “I just wanna grill” societal class. PMU parties in Iraq also seem uniquely bad at developing a strong base of loyalty and support, which leads to many situations where they display clear incompetence compared to the disciplined and popular Hezbollah and Ansarallah.

    2. Muqtada Al Sadr. He lost the elections despite his boycott. He wanted to tank the credibility and the participation rate in the elections, but that drastically failed today with how positive the whole atmosphere around the elections has been. He’s truly the worst gambler of the all time, can’t believe he once again maneuvered himself and his followers into a stupid ass position that makes him look like a loser cult leader again.

    3. Kurdish opposition. It was a little bit of a now or never for most Kurdish opposition parties, but early results shows that they’re sadly cooked like the kids would say. Iraqi Kurds just seem incapable of even considering the idea of voting for another guy or party.


    The real nerd breakdown coming soon inshallah chat.

    • demerit@lemmygrad.ml
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      Seems like the revolutionary drought in the middle east seems to be persistent for the future, well at least the Gulf states didn’t score THAT big of a victory.

      • LargePenis [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        It has never been so dry. The more revolutionary pro-resistance parties self-sabotaged by committing to a more sectarian program, and they lacked the discipline that Hezbollah for example display when dealing with other sects in society. Communists are more committed to a general secular program rather than any revolutionary program, which leads to weird alliances with Adnan Al Zurfi’s more pro-US gang that includes even zionist freaks. It’s not looking good, but it’s a damaged society from the atrocities of Saddam Hussein and later the Americans and ISIS. It will take time.

        • FunkyStuff [he/him]@hexbear.net
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          I can’t really understand why, in Iraq of all places, secularism comes before anti-imperialism for Communists. Though I guess it also begs for some serious analysis of how the secularists should adapt to being only a minor faction of the anti-imperialist resistance among religious allies, and how to achieve the strategic goal of healing sectarian divisions while being part of said coalition.

    • Cunigulus [they/them]@hexbear.net
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      How free and fair are these elections? Could there be widespread fraud or is it a very open and regulated process? Is there just a lot of foreign-sponsored propaganda driving support for the various blocs? It seems from your analysis that things are slowly getting a bit less sectarian, which on its own is probably a good thing, but that this is occurring in the direction the propaganda press is pushing. In other words people are tired of conflict along the lines that are drawn, and the easiest way to negate that seems to be to just vote the way media tells them. From a leftist perspective, maybe all this sectarian conflict has to die down so that political divisions along class lines can resurface. That this negation can emerge simply from the establishment asserting itself is actually convenient.

      • LargePenis [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        From my observations, the Iraqi election process is as fair as it gets with the state of democracy across the world. Every nation that tries a fair democratic process is plagued by similar issues when it comes to propaganda by outside actors and widespread media manipulation. The main sources of media manipulation and propaganda when it comes to Iraq are the US and Iran, with both pushing in pretty much opposite directions. The US continuously pushes in the direction of secular liberalism through its media tools, and Iran pushes for more religious Shia nationalism and pro-resistance interests. Things are definitely getting a little less sectarian, as evidenced by the victory of PM Sudani’s party in Nineveh, Arabs voting for the Kurdish PUK in Kirkuk because they like the governor, and Sunni-led Taqaddum dominating western Baghdad. I definitely agree with the idea of sectarianism needing to die before divisions across class lines emerge and solidify. The resistance shot themselves in the foot with committing themselves to a more sectarian program, which seems to have alienated a large portion of middle class Shia voters who are annoyed with disruptions to daily life by armed PMU groups and are generally happy with the current progress under PM Sudani. I think that the results in general indicate that a large section of society are moving towards voting for economic interests rather than sectarian interests.

    • ColombianLenin [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      Saddening to see resistance parties get burnt. What’s the sentiment in the country regarding the Zionist entity? What’s it gonna take to remobilize the streets?

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    Some more brilliant strategic thinking by the EU here, see point twenty regarding establishing closer official relations with Taiwan.

    When various EU thinkers have talked about europe needing strategic autonomy instead of just following the American lead, I doubt they meant independently following the most fervent American neocon fantasy as policy.

    This kind of thing where the US eggs on its vassals while having more conciliatory policies itself is interesting though and might be valuable for American interests. I’m not sure what the consequences would be if the loudest voices for war and interference are coming from the lapdogs instead of the master.

    • Lovely_sombrero [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      It would be very funny if the EU starts some shit with China for purely ideological reasons and the US just stays neutral.

      whereas the EU continues to maintain its own ‘One China’ policy, which is different from the PRC’s ‘One China’ principle; whereas the EU’s long-standing position has been to support the status quo and a peaceful resolution of differences across the Taiwan Strait, while encouraging dialogue and constructive engagement;

      Aaah, when we said that we do recognize your ‘One China’ policy, we weren’t talking about the actual ‘One China’ policy, but about some hidden EU policy that happens to have the same name but means something entirely different. It is not that we were lying the entire time, you just weren’t paying enough attention to our ‘One China’ policy that we are still keeping secret from the entire world and even ourselves for that matter!

      • darkcalling [comrade/them, she/her]@hexbear.net
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        It would be very funny if the EU starts some shit with China for purely ideological reasons and the US just stays neutral.

        Would actually be pretty ideal as it would further crush the EU as a competitor to the US, do some damage to China and leave the US with the power to go to China and say basically either give us some concessions or maybe we join them, but play your cards right and we won’t stop your retaliation either. Maybe they try and force the EU to decouple from China first. It destroys the EU but the demand of the EU combined market eventually creates just enough impetus for friend-shoring some large amount of stuff to India, the US, Asian vassals (Japan, occupied Korea, etc). Meanwhile the US is spared the pain, reaps a mightly profit and can do its own decoupling much more softly because the EU already took the gut-punch to make it viable for them. Would really accomplish a lot of US goals and leave EU in such dire straits the US could poach their top minds and talent, force their NATO vassals into wars abroad with China over resources in the 2030s to seize as much of the world as possible, and build up climate fortress USA for the coming climate change hell that awaits us all as we plunge into 4-degrees C warming and beyond.

        It’s like Russia which was possibly a test for this. They made the EU decouple hardest from everything but energy they absolutely couldn’t do without while the US stepped in to sell them alternatives, force them to buy US weapons, and drew them closer and deeper into NATO subjugation under the US while harming Russia and the EU maximally with the US profiting from the sidelines. Russia is also best seen as a practice for modern combat against China, to learn what it will look like, and to whip up demand and impetus for re-arming NATO and creating the production capacity needed to stay in a prolonged fight with China.