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Cake day: July 2nd, 2023

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  • Letting out men aged 18-22 was a really smart play by the government. These are the people who were underaged back in February 2022, and it would’ve been a very heavy mental ask for their parents to switch from the mindset of “I need to protect my children from the war” to a “my grown adults need to protect me” one. This would’ve been the prime audience for a civil uprising.

    In addition it creates the pressure of a fresh influx of immigrants to EU countries, of underqualified men at that, the most vilified category that fuels anti-immigrant sentiment. This is bound to shift the attitude of Europeans towards all the refugees they took in so far, and already Germany polls at 62% in favor of sending conscription-aged men back to Ukraine. If they actually manage to get the 25+ ones back at the cost of losing the youngest slice - that’s millions of fresh recruits without pushing the boundaries of what Ukrainians at home can tolerate by further lowering conscription age.