I must share that Emmanuel Todd, who foresaw the dissolution of the USSR in the 70’s has predicted the ‘defeat of the west’ and the dissolution of NATO after losing the war in Ukraine.
So some “hope”.
I must share that Emmanuel Todd, who foresaw the dissolution of the USSR in the 70’s has predicted the ‘defeat of the west’ and the dissolution of NATO after losing the war in Ukraine.
So some “hope”.
Depends on what you mean. As funny as it would be, the balkanization of the US isn’t very likely. The US losing its ability to project power abroad is more possible, although even that doesn’t seem guaranteed yet. There are a lot of puppets left to cannibalize still - there are many countries who treat the US the same way the US treats Israel, so to speak.
The political and organizational de-federalization of the U.S. is already well underway and we are really just starting to see the preliminary military conflicts with things like Trump actively threatening Chicago.
If this leads to actual Balkanization has more to do with if the regions have strong identification with each other and themselves more than the federal government, which given how destabilized people’s identities are due to the internet is unlikely to manifest in that way. On the other hand, intense regionalization may occur as a reaction to internet generalization. For example, I have seen more people joke about Wisconsin retaking the Upper Peninsula of Michigan than ever before in the last couple of years, and quite often todays jokes are tomorrows policies.